Probabilistic Forecasting of Seasonal Inflow to Reservoir
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Reservoir Inflow Forecasting Using Neural Networks
In utilities using a mixture of hydroelectric and nonhydroelectric power, the economics of the hydroelectric plants depend upon the reservoir height and the inflow into the reservoir for several days into the future. Accurate forecasts of reservoir inflow allow the utility to feed proper amounts of fuel to individual plants, and to economically allocate the load between various non-hydroelectri...
متن کاملReservoir inflow forecasting using artificial neural network
Hydrologic forecasting plays an ever increasing role in water resource management, as engineers are required to make component forecasts of natural inflows to reservoirs for numerous purposes. Resulting forecast techniques vary with the system purpose, physical characteristics, and availability of data. As most hydrological parameters are subjected to the uncertainty, a proper forecasting metho...
متن کاملA Grammatical Evolution Model for Reservoir Inflow Forecasting
This paper explores the feasibility of applying a grammatical evolution (GE) system and combines it with the genetic algorithm (GA) to establish the inflow predicting model of De-Chi Reservoir in central Taiwan. First, a GE is an evolutionary automatic programming type system, which can discover relationships among observed data and express them mathematically. Further, a GA was used with this ...
متن کاملCombining Copula-Based Bayesian Network Method
Especially for drought periods, the higher the accuracy of reservoir inflow forecasting, the 9 more reliable the water supply from a dam. The article focuses on probabilistic forecasting of 10 seasonal inflow to reservoirs and determines estimates from the probabilistic seasonal inflow 11 according to drought forecast results. The probabilistic seasonal inflow was forecasted by a copula12 based...
متن کاملPredictability of Western Himalayan river flow: melt seasonal inflow into Bhakra Reservoir in northern India
Snowmelt-dominated streamflow of the Western Himalayan rivers is an important water resource during the dry pre-monsoon spring months to meet the irrigation and hydropower needs in northern India. Here we study the seasonal prediction of melt-dominated total inflow into the Bhakra Dam in northern India based on statistical relationships with meteorological variables during the preceding winter....
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Environmental Sciences international
سال: 2013
ISSN: 1225-4517
DOI: 10.5322/jesi.2013.22.8.965